The analysts predict only 2,635 MW will be added in the first half but a further 8,267 MW will come online from July onwards.
Though most of the gain will come from utility scale solar, rooftop PV is also expected to register another year of fantastic growth, with 2,368 MW of new capacity expected – a rate 49% higher than that seen in 2018. That segment of the market will continue to be dominated by commercial and industrial consumers.
More than 75% of the new utility scale capacity is expected to come online in the states of Rajasthan – which will see more than 2 GW – Andhra Pradesh (1,950 MW), Tamil Nadu (1,872 MW) and Karnataka (1,555 MW).
New open access solar capacity may fall significantly, however, from 1,630 MW last year to just 600-650 MW. Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana will lead that segment of the market.
In all, 32 developers are expected to commission utility scale PV projects in 2019, led by Azure, Acme and NLC. Ayana Renewable, Raasi Green Earth, Asian Fab Tec, Think Energy Partners and Technique Solar are set to commission their first projects in India in 2019.
The safeguarding duty applied to PV cell and module imports will fall to 20% in July.
Bridge to India expects no significant uplift in Indian PV manufacturing, with total module manufacturing capacity expected to total around 3 GW.